No Illinois
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 64.5414Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Holy Cross 19-17 905 A Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 9-20 920 A Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 10-38 927 H San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 3- 6 1004 H MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 14-25 1011 A Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 10-16 1018 A Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 21-48 1025 H Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 21- 7 1105 A Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 3-42 1112 A UMass IND ( 0-12, 48.7) 45- 3 1118 H We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 19-35 1128 H Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 31-35
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
905 A Maryland 9-20 -11 -15 + 3.00
920 A Miss St 10-38 -28 -18 0.00
927 H San Diego St 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.74
1004 H MiamiOH 14-25 -11 -4 --- -6.70
1011 A Ea Michigan 10-16 -6 -8 1.84
1018 A Ohio 21-48 -27 -17 0.00
1025 H Ball St 21- 7 14 5 +++ 9.28
1105 A Toledo 3-42 -39 -21 0.00
1112 A UMass 45- 3 42 11 + 3.40
1118 H We Michigan 19-35 -16 -7 --- -7.49
1128 H Kent State 31-35 -4 6 --- -9.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H MiamiOH 14-25 -11 -4 --- -6.70 1118 H We Michigan 19-35 -16 -7 --- -7.49 1128 H Kent State 31-35 -4 6 --- -9.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Ball St 21- 7 14 5 +++ 9.28 927 H San Diego St 3- 6 -3 -8 ++ 4.74 905 A Maryland 9-20 -11 -15 + 3.00 1112 A UMass 45- 3 42 11 + 3.40 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Maryland ( 4- 8, 74.8) 9-20 -25.12 26.10 5.26 1.16 -11.51
3 A Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 10-38 -23.10 28.12 5.26 1.16 -10.34
3 H San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 3- 6 -22.36 28.86 -5.26 1.16 -16.01
3 H MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 14-25 -25.80 25.42 -5.26 1.16 -18.00
3 A Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 10-16 -32.78 18.44 5.26 1.16 -15.95
3 A Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 21-48 -23.60 27.62 5.26 1.16 -10.63
3 H Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 21- 7 -34.82 16.40 -5.26 1.16 25.83
3 A Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 3-42 -19.94 31.28 5.26 1.16 -8.51
3 A UMass ( 0-12, 48.7) 45- 3 -51.22 1.00 5.26 1.16 14.51
3 H We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 19-35 -23.59 27.63 -5.26 1.16 -16.72
3 H Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 31-35 -35.66 15.56 -5.26 1.16 -23.71
------
-91.03
|
winning pts = 40.3429 losing points = -131.3778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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